SAN DIEGO (CNS) - County elections officials and observers anticipate that around three-quarters of the San Diego region's registered voters will cast votes in Tuesday's general election, but the sheer size of the ballot could yield some surprising results.
County Registrar of Voters Michael Vu said he expects turnout to be around 72-77 percent. He said nearly half of about 1.1 million mail ballots issued by his office had been returned so far.
John Nienstedt, of Competitive Edge Research & Communication, said he expects the turnout percentage will push 80 percent in San Diego County overall, and 75 percent in the city of San Diego.
Elections analyst Vince Vasquez told City News Service that county turnout could be around 79-82 percent, which would be within the recent historic range.
Both he and Nienstedt said the sheer size of the ballot could lead to more "under-voting,'' in which San Diegans vote for president and other major offices, but neglect to decide on some local races and propositions.
The resulting volatility may give us some surprises on Election Night,'' said Vasquez, who thinks it will be mostly older voters who complete their ballots.
"If it's mostly older Democratic and Republican voters voting in down- ticket races, there is likely to be a higher skepticism and scrutiny of candidates and ballot measures,'' Vasquez said. "That probably results in more 'no' votes on local measures, and a higher deference to incumbents -- with exceptions.''
He said challengers and campaigns with sophisticated voter-targeting techniques and sufficient financial resources may be able to overcome the phenomenon, or make their races closer than they otherwise would be.
Nienstedt said the size of the ballot could intimidate some into not voting at all, but the importance of the issues involved in state and local measures -- like legalizing recreational marijuana and raising the hotel room tax to pay for a football stadium of the Chargers -- will motivate most people to complete their ballots.
The solid turnout means voters are gamely taking on the 'YUUUGE' 2016 ballot, as well as the stench of the presidential campaigns,'' Nienstedt said.
"The vast majority of San Diego's registered voters will hold their nose and do their civic duty.''
Polls open around the county at 7 a.m. and close at 8 p.m. Voting will also take place at the registrar's office, 5600 Overland Ave. in Kearny Mesa.
Click here to find your polling place.
Remember, you may also return your signed mail ballot to any polling place or at the Office of the Registrar until 8:00 pm. today. pic.twitter.com/Zs5wLx04y1— SanDiegoCounty (@SanDiegoCounty) November 8, 2016
The medical examiner's office on Wednesday said it had identified the remains found in a 55-gallon drum in the San Diego Bay last week and ruled the manner of death a homicide.
A newly concluded nationwide crackdown on child sex trafficking resulted in the rescue of a 16-year-old potential victim of the crime in San Diego, authorities announced Wednesday.
San Diego's region-wide bid for Amazon's second headquarters was sent off Wednesday, one day before the online retailing giant's deadline, according to the San Diego Regional Economic Development Corp.
Mayor Kevin Faulconer and County Supervisor Dianne Jacob joined fire officials and others Wednesday to mark the 10th anniversary of one of the worst fire seasons in state history.
Ryan Kelly went from the Navy to the director's chair and he's not the only service member bringing their vision to the big screen.
SeaWorld San Diego announced Wednesday that 79 positions at the park will be cut as part of a "company-wide cost initiative," according to a statement released by the park Wednesday.
The minor league soccer team backed by one of the world's best players and slated to start play next year in San Diego will be known as the 1904 Football Club.
She calls herself the girl next door, but there's a lot of buzz about her. Literally, a local woman is finding ways to grow the bee population and she's calling on you to help.